Pot Odds and Draws in No Limit
To all my fellow math-haters out there: give this article a chance. The concept of pot odds isn't as bad as it sounds. All pot odds do is tell you whether or not it's profitable to call a bet. If the pot odds are in your favor, you can call. If not, you should fold. That's it. Trust me; I'm terrible at math so I've made this concept as simple as possible. It's actually pretty easy once you get the basic idea of it.
Pot odds are a way of expressing the size of a bet to the size of a pot. The easiest way to explain this is to use an example.
Let's say you're playing a no limit game and the pot is $50. If your opponent bets $25 the pot is now $75 and you have to call $25 to stay in. The pot odds for this would be expressed as 75:25 which reduces down to 3:1.
Ok stay with me now, it's almost over.
The odds to complete a flush draw are roughly 4:1. If you were chasing a flush draw in the above example, all you would do is compare the pot odds (3:1) to the flush draw odds (4:1).
Since you're only getting 3:1 on a 4:1 draw, you can not call this bet and make a profit over the long term.
Let's use a long term example to illustrate why this is. If you called that $25 bet 100 times, you'd spend a total of $2,500 chasing. Out of those 100 times chasing, you would complete the flush draw and win the $75 pot 20 times for a total of $1,500 in wins. That works out to a loss of $1,000 over the course of those 100 situations.
Now if the opponent had instead bet $10 into that $50 pot, you would be getting 60:10 on your call which reduces down to 6:1. In this case you'd be getting 6:1 on a 4:1 draw which is a great deal. It would be incorrect to fold here.
That's all there is to it. The easiest way to figure out your drawing odds is to just memorize a few of the more common ones and then add more as you go on.
Some of the more common draws and their odds are:
Flush Draw: 4:1
Open Ended Straight Draw: 5:1
Gutshot Straight Draw: 11:1
Two Pair to a Full House: 11:1

